When will the coronavirus epidemic end?


Source: CNN

No one knows for sure. President Trump suggested this coronavirus could subside by the warmer summer months — but scientists say it’s too early to tell.

“The short answer is that while we may expect modest declines in the contagiousness of (novel coronavirus) in warmer, wetter weather and perhaps with the closing of schools … it is not reasonable to expect these declines alone to slow transmission enough to make a big dent,” wrote Dr. Marc Lipsitch, director of the Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics at Harvard’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

US Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar responded to Trump’s suggestion that coronavirus could weaken in warmer weather.

“What the President is saying is, we hope it will respond the way regular coronaviruses do and be heat responsive,” Azar said.

“But it also could just as equally respond the way SARS — a coronavirus adaptation — responds and continue in the warm season.”


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