We took the time to trend out the confirmed cases and map them along side the R0 probability. R0 represents the replication factor of the virus. For example: every one person infected, they will infect (or) 1.5 persons will be infected. The best or closest R0 is 1.5 with less than 2% variance. We will continue to monitor this as more of the data becomes available from the effected areas and disease control centers.